Morning Wire: May 14, 2026 — Warsh confirmed, Pentagon pegs Iran war at $29B, Russia hurls 800+ drones at Ukraine

ByEduardo Bacci

May 13, 2026

Compiled before sunrise on Thursday, May 14, 2026 by The Investigative Journal. All items are sourced to public records, official statements, or wire reporting. Times are Eastern unless noted.

Overnight, Washington absorbed the closest Federal Reserve confirmation vote of the modern era, while the Pentagon told senators the seven-month-old war with Iran has cost taxpayers $29 billion and Russia hurled more than 800 drones at Ukraine in a single 24-hour stretch. The Supreme Court’s Tuesday ruling in Louisiana v. Callais continued to ripple through state houses, and a federal appeals court bought the Trump administration time on its 10 percent global tariff. Below, the developments most likely to shape the day in Washington and abroad.

Government

Warsh confirmed to lead the Federal Reserve, 54-45. The Senate on Wednesday confirmed Kevin Warsh as the next chair of the Federal Reserve in what records indicate was the closest vote ever for the post, according to CNBC. Pennsylvania Sen. John Fetterman was the only Democrat to cross over. Warsh, 56, served as a Fed governor from 2006 to 2011 and replaces Jerome Powell, whose term ends this month. NPR reported that Warsh has signaled openness to lower rates but pledged to apply his own judgment, telling senators he would not take orders from the White House.

His first meeting as chair of the Federal Open Market Committee is scheduled for June 16-17. The confirmation arrives during a stretch in which fresh inflation data has complicated the case for cuts that the administration has publicly urged. Markets will watch for any early signal on rate posture, balance-sheet runoff, and the Fed’s communications cadence. Records indicate Warsh inherits a board with two Trump-appointed governors confirmed this year, including Stephen Miran and the more recently seated member referenced in floor proceedings on Tuesday.

Iran war powers resolution rejected, 49-50. A privileged joint resolution to direct the removal of U.S. armed forces from hostilities with Iran absent congressional authorization failed on the Senate floor Wednesday, according to the official roll call. The 49-50 tally fell short of discharge. The vote followed Tuesday testimony from Pentagon comptroller Jules Hurst III, who told a Senate panel the war has cost about $29 billion to date — up from a $25 billion figure provided to lawmakers in late April. Pentagon testimony attributed roughly $24 billion of the total to munitions repair and replacement plus general operational costs.

Independent analysts have questioned whether the figure captures the full bill. Military Times reported the Defense Department is also seeking additional appropriations. Lawmakers in both parties have raised questions about munitions stockpiles, force posture in the Gulf, and the duration of an open-ended overseas commitment. The administration has publicly described ongoing diplomacy with Tehran as “sensitive.”

Senate unanimously moves to dock its own pay during shutdowns. By a 99-0 vote, the Senate advanced legislation that would withhold pay from senators when the federal government is shut down, according to News/Talk 1540 KXEL. Sen. Pete Ricketts of Nebraska was the only senator not voting. Filings indicate the measure now must clear the House, where similar proposals have stalled in past sessions.

Tariff policy stays in force — for now. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issued a short-term administrative stay on Tuesday that preserves the administration’s 10 percent global import duty pending appeal, after the U.S. Court of International Trade ruled 2-1 on May 7 that the President exceeded his authority by invoking a never-before-used provision of the Trade Act of 1974. Reporting indicates two small-business plaintiffs that had won at the trade court must keep paying duties while the appeal is briefed. A merits ruling from the Federal Circuit, when it comes, is expected to be a candidate for further review at the Supreme Court.

Courts

SCOTUS strikes Louisiana congressional map in Voting Rights Act ruling. A 6-3 Supreme Court on Tuesday struck down Louisiana’s congressional map in Louisiana v. Callais, holding that the state lacked a compelling interest sufficient to justify a race-based redraw, according to SCOTUSblog. Justice Samuel Alito wrote for the majority that “the Constitution almost never permits” race-based government discrimination. Justice Elena Kagan, in dissent, warned the decision would make Section 2 vote-dilution claims “nearly impossible” to win.

The decision, issued unusually close to a midterm cycle, is already prompting state-level redraws and is the subject of bipartisan post-mortems. The Hill reported Republican gains in House map composition could follow; Democratic lawmakers, including Rep. Terri Sewell, condemned the ruling on the floor. Virginia officials warned representation in the commonwealth could erode under the new framework.

DOJ charges Dali ship managers in Key Bridge collapse. The Justice Department on Tuesday brought criminal charges against Synergy Marine Private Limited, Synergy Maritime Private Limited, and superintendent Radhakrishnan Karthik Nair in connection with the March 2024 collision that destroyed Baltimore’s Francis Scott Key Bridge and killed six construction workers, WYPR reported. The indictment alleges conspiracy, willful failure to immediately inform the Coast Guard of a known hazardous condition, obstruction of an agency proceeding, and false statements. The defendants are presumed innocent unless proven guilty; counsel of record had not publicly responded as of filing.

Carroll judgment payment frozen pending Supreme Court review. A federal appeals court on Tuesday left in place an order temporarily blocking President Trump from paying writer E. Jean Carroll the $83.3 million defamation judgment she won, while the Supreme Court considers whether to take the case, according to The Hill. The pause does not vacate the judgment; it preserves the status quo while a cert petition is pending.

Second circuit split on no-bond ICE detention. A second federal appeals court has rejected the administration’s mandatory no-bond detention policy for certain immigration cases, deepening a circuit split, the Washington Post reported. Wisconsin courts on Wednesday flagged the bond doctrine in proceedings involving a Sheboygan Falls woman in ICE custody, according to a Wisconsin Law Journal report. A circuit split typically increases the likelihood of Supreme Court review.

International

Russia escalates with mass daytime drone barrage on Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Wednesday that Russia had launched more than 800 drones against Ukraine since midnight in what Euronews described as the war’s largest single-day drone assault. At least eight people were reported killed. The Institute for the Study of War assessed that Moscow’s pivot to combined day-night strikes is likely to compound civilian harm by extending threat windows and complicating air-defense triage.

The Russia Matters weekly report card tracks more than 200 combat engagements in the past 24 hours. From May 13, 2025 to May 12, 2026, Russia made a net territorial gain of roughly 1,669 square miles — about 0.7 percent of Ukraine’s total — at a heavy human and materiel cost. Separately, Russian state media reported a test launch of the nuclear-armed Sarmat ICBM, which Moscow says will enter combat service later this year. (Tass and similar state outlets are flagged as state propaganda; the launch claim should be treated as unverified pending Western confirmation.)

Gaza: ceasefire envoy says Hamas disarmament “not negotiable.” Nickolay Mladenov, the envoy heading the U.S.-brokered Board of Peace, told reporters in Jerusalem on Wednesday that the phased Gaza ceasefire is “paralysed” over Hamas’s failure to disarm, according to the Washington Post. Mladenov said disarmament is “not negotiable” but indicated the Board is “not asking Hamas to disappear as a political movement.” Mladenov also met Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Jerusalem Post reported.

Conflict-monitoring group ACLED reported Israeli operations rose by roughly 35 percent month-over-month in April, and Gaza’s Ministry of Health reported 120 Palestinian fatalities since the April 8 truce with Iran took hold, according to filings cited in international wire reporting. The U.N. Security Council heard a related briefing Wednesday urging consolidation of the truce and a halt to escalating West Bank settlement activity.

Pentagon’s $29 billion Iran tally meets Hill skepticism. Multiple analysts told reporters that even at $29 billion, the figure understates likely lifetime costs once long-tail veterans’ care, basing, and replacement-procurement contracts are accounted for, according to NOTUS. Military Times reported the Pentagon will request supplemental appropriations. Records indicate Iran has continued to deploy fast-boat units in the Strait of Hormuz; Fox News cited Vice President JD Vance as describing diplomatic talks as “sensitive.”

Philippines: gunfire in Senate during ICC-linked arrest attempt. Wire reporting out of Manila indicates witnesses heard a burst of gunfire inside the Philippine Senate as authorities attempted to arrest a senator wanted by the International Criminal Court. Details remained fluid at filing; further reporting from the Associated Press and Reuters wires was expected through the morning. The episode adds to a months-long political confrontation in the country over compliance with ICC processes.

Worth Watching

House Administration meets at 9:45 a.m. for a full-committee markup of campaign-finance and election-integrity measures including H.R. 8720, H.R. 8721, H.R. 7418, and H.R. 3535, per the committee’s notice. House Oversight convenes at 10 a.m. for a hearing on ATF privacy practices and the Tiahrt Amendment, while the House Armed Services subcommittee on cyber and innovation gavels in at 3 p.m. on the Defense Department’s science and technology posture.

On the floor, the House calendar shows a continuation of votes on appropriations vehicles and select defense authorizations, per Congress.gov. The Senate is expected to take up additional executive-branch nominations following the Warsh and Iran war-powers votes.

At the courts, watchers should track docket activity at the Federal Circuit on the tariff stay; further filings from Carroll’s counsel at the Supreme Court; and any movement on the second-circuit-split immigration bond cases that could accelerate cert review. The DOJ is expected to make additional public statements regarding the Dali indictment and a related civil settlement track. Overseas, eyes turn to the Board of Peace’s next round of Gaza shuttle diplomacy and to whether Ukraine’s air defenses can absorb a sustained day-night drone tempo without Western resupply.

Markets will parse any early signals from the incoming Fed chair ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. Energy traders will watch the Strait of Hormuz; bond desks will watch the curve.

The Investigative Journal will update this briefing as the day’s news warrants. Submit corrections to the editor.

ByEduardo Bacci

Investigative journalist and founder of The Investigative Journal. Specializing in OSINT-driven reporting on corporate malfeasance, government accountability, and institutional corruption.